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256 Mr R. G. Casey, Minister to the United States, to Department of External Affairs

Cablegram 94 WASHINGTON, 20 May 1940, 11.10 p.m.

Bruce's telegram 338 [1] repeated to me.

I have seen Tokyo telegrams on which this was based and later
Tokyo telegrams. I note that Craigie believes the present
situation is that the Japanese Cabinet has considered all angles
and determined against any proposal for forcible measures
regarding the N.E.I. although German successes might encourage the
Japanese extremists to seek a new southward adventure.

Yesterday Lord Lothian [2] was informed in reply to informal
enquiry that the U.S. Government intended to maintain their
present policy, i.e. keep fleet at Hawaii as a deterrent to
Japanese adventures. At the same time they will avoid giving
provocation to Japan by such action as an embargo on war
materials. [3]

1 On file AA: A1608, A41/1/1, ix. It reported the view of Sir
Robert Craigie, U.K. Ambassador to Japan, that Japan was more
likely to make economic demands on rather than attack the
Netherlands East Indies, but that the United Kingdom should be
prepared for any eventualities.

2 U.K. Ambassador to the United States.

3 This cablegram was repeated as no. 21 to S. M. Bruce, High
Commissioner in London.


[AA: A981, JAPAN 181, iv]
Last Updated: 11 September 2013
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