Summary
This report examines changes
in the composition of world trade and in imports in three major
markets (Japan, the United States and Korea). It concludes that
manufactures and services trade remained the fastest growing
sectors of world trade in the 1990s, although agriculture has
grown faster than in the 1980s. The report highlights the role
of successive multilateral trade rounds in the expansion of manufactures
trade since the Second World War, along with rising incomes,
technological change, and the expansion of cross-border investment.The
report points out that Australia's own exports have continued
to diversify over the 1990s, with rapid growth in elaborately
transformed manufactures and services. Trade liberalisation
in Australia has contributed to diversification. As a result
of continued diversification, Australia's exports are now divided
between the four bases of agriculture, minerals, manufactures
and services.
The report finds that manufactures
was the most dynamic import sector in Japan (up to its 1998 recession)
and in the United States, while services grew most rapidly in
Korea up to its economic crisis. It argues that, given Australia's
export specialisation, changes in the composition of imports
into Japan and the United States had adverse consequences for
our market share in these countries in the first part of the
1990s. However, the report finds that Australia again built
market share in each of the three markets studied over the past
3-4 years.