Mr. Churchill has received Prime Minister's message in
Commonwealth Government telegram No. 296 [1] and asks that the
following personal message from him should be given to Mr.

Menzies-
I am deeply touched by your message, which is only in keeping with
all that the Mother Country has ever received in peace or war from
Australia.

I do not regard the situation as having passed beyond our
strength. It is by no means certain that the French will not fight
on in Africa and at sea, but, whatever they do, Hitler will have
to break us in this island or lose the war.

Our principal danger is his concentrated air attack by bombing,
coupled with parachute and airborne landings, and attempts to run
an invading force across the sea. This danger has faced us ever
since the beginning of the war, and the French could never have
saved us from it, as he could always switch on to us. Undoubtedly
it is aggravated by the conquests Hitler has made upon the
European coast close to our shores. Nevertheless, in principle the
danger is the same. I do not see why we should not be able to meet
it. The Navy has never pretended to prevent a raid of five or ten
thousand men, but we do not see how a force of say eighty to a
hundred thousand could be transported across the sea, and still
less maintained, in the teeth of superior sea-power.

As long as our Air Force is in being it provides a powerful aid to
the Fleet in preventing seaborne landings and will take a very
heavy toll of airborne landings. Although we have suffered heavy
losses by assisting the French and during the Dunkirk evacuation,
we have managed to husband our air fighter strength in spite of
poignant appeals from France to throw it improvidently into the
great land battle which it could not have turned decisively. I am
happy to tell you that it is now as strong as it has ever been and
that the flow of machines is coming forward far more rapidly than
ever before; in fact pilots have now become the limiting factor at
the moment. Our fighter aircraft have been wont to inflict a loss
of two or two-and-a-half to one even when fighting under adverse
conditions in France. During the evacuation of Dunkirk, which was
a sort of No Man's Land, we have inflicted a loss of three to four
to one and often saw German formations turn away from a quarter of
their numbers of our planes.

But all Air authorities agree that the advantage in defending this
country against an oversea air attack will be still greater
because first we shall know pretty well by our various devices
where they are coming and because our Squadrons lie close enough
together to enable us to concentrate against attackers and provide
enough to attack both bombers and protecting fighters at the same
time. All their shot down machines will be total losses, many of
ours and our pilots will fight again. Therefore do not think it by
any means impossible that we may so maul them that they will find
daylight attacks too expensive. The major danger will be from
night attack on our aircraft factories, but this again is far less
accurate than daylight attack; moreover, we have many plans for
minimising its effect. Of course their numbers are much greater
than ours but not so much greater as to deprive us of a better and
reasonable prospect of wearing them out after some weeks or even
months of air struggle.

Meanwhile of course our bomber force will be striking continually
at their key points and especially oil and oil refineries and air
factories and at their congested and centralised war industry in
the Ruhr. We hope our people will stand up to this bombardment as
well as the enemy. it will on both sides be on an unprecedented
scale. All our information goes to show that the Germans have not
liked what they have got so far.

It must be remembered that now that the B.E.F. is home and largely
re-armed or re-arming, if not upon a Continental scale, at any
rate good enough for home defence, we have far stronger military
forces in this Island than we have ever had in the late war or in
this war. Therefore we hope that such numbers of the enemy as may
be landed from the air or by seaborne raid will be destroyed and
be an example to those who try to follow. No doubt we must expect
a novel form of attack and an attempt to bring tanks across the
sea. We are preparing ourselves to deal with these as far as we
can foresee them. No one can predict or guarantee the course of a
life and death struggle of this character but we shall certainly
enter upon it in good heart.

I have given you this full explanation to show you that there are
solid reasons behind our resolve not to allow the fate of France,
whatever it may be, to deter us from going on to the end. I
personally believe that the spectacle of the fierce struggle and
carnage in our Island will draw the United States into the war,
and, even if we should be beaten down through superior number of
the enemy's Air Force, it will always be possible, as I indicated
to the House of Commons in my last speech, to send our Fleets
across the ocean where they will be protecting the Empire and
enable it to continue the war and to blockade materially in
conjunction with the United States until the Hitler regime breaks
under the strain.

We shall let you know at every stage how you can help, being
assured that you will do all in human power [as] we for our part
are entirely resolved to do.