Your 286. De Ranitz was cautious in his opinions [1] explaining
that his work was not connected with that of the Netherlands
Delegation and that he had not been in Indonesia long enough to
make a proper study of the situation.

2. He is not optimistic about the prospects of a settlement which
he considers depends upon whether the Republic can accept the main
principles contained in the amendments proposed by the Dutch to
the Cochran plan (see my following telegram). [2] He does not
expect any major concessions or changes in Dutch policy but points
out that all decisions are now being taken at The Hague.

3. De Ranitz does not foresee an immediate or early police action
but agrees that failure to reach a settlement would probably
eventually lead to one.

4. In the event of refusal by the Republic to accept the main
Netherlands proposals he assumes the Dutch would go ahead with the
formation of an interim government without the Republic and that
pressures would be maintained to bring in the Republic. He agreed
that in these circumstances economic help would be necessary for
Republican areas but stressed that the Republic would be required
to change its policy of subversive activities against the
Netherlands.